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Qatar Airways unveiled an aggressive expansion plan today, with plans to expand operations to India and Europe, and launch new flights into Australia from the start of the Northern Winter 2009 schedules.

Over the next nine months Qatar Airways will commence flights from Doha to Goa and Amritsar, taking their count to 11 destinations in India, Sydney and Melbourne in Australia, and two European cities which have not yet been announced.



Qatar Airways has a fleet of 68 aircraft out of which there are eight Boeing 777's; six Boeing 777-300ERs (extended range) and two February delivered Boeing 777-200LRs (long range). Qatar Airways is deploying the latter aircraft on its Doha-Houston service due to commence on March 30th. At close to 17 hours, it will be one of the longest non-stop flights in the world.

Qatar Airways Business Class seats
The Australian services will require the same Boeing 777-200LRs which will be joining the fleet during this year.

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SpiceJet has been quietly adjusting to the global meltdown in the airline industry and focussing on its profitability. With gentle yet deliberate steps it has built back its financial strength, and is now poised to benefit from the consolidation wave sweeping the industry. Something, its full service counterparts like Air India, Jet Airways and Kingfisher Airlines are struggling to achieve.

SpiceJet CEO Sanjay AggarwalBangalore Aviation was the only weblog invited to a face-to-face interaction with Sanjay Aggarwal, CEO, SpiceJet, recently. This is the first of a two part article.

Current fleet and operations
SpiceJet is operating 115 daily flights with a fleet of 19 Next Generation Boeing 737s. 14 737-800s and five 737-900ERs (extended range).

SpiceJet names all its aircraft after various spices and herbs. This Boeing 737-900 Next Generation is called Oregano. Visit our Flickr site for pictures of Cinnamon, Thyme and other SpiceJet aircraft.

SpiceJet B737-9GJ(ER)(WL) VT-SGB CN34956 Oregano VOBL Bengaluru International Airport 7Mar09
14 aircraft are leased from Babcock and Brown, four from GECAS, and one from ILFS.

SpiceJet has 150 Indian pilots, and 50 expatriates (equivalent to 35 full time).

At present the fleet strength is completely utilised and further route expansion has been ruled out till new aircraft are inducted which will commence from February 2010. Between 2010 and 2012 SpiceJet will induct 12 Boeing 737-800s into its fleet, at the rate of four aircraft every year. The balance three delivery slots have been sold.

With revealing specifics, Sanjay Aggarwal informed me that SpiceJet's break-even passenger load factor was in the upper "60s" (65 to 69 per cent). SpiceJet is achieving load factors in the upper 70s to low 80s currently.

Market share has increased to 11.8 per cent in January, 2009. Overall low cost carriers (LCCs) had a 49 per cent market share and full service carriers (FSCs) had 51 per cent. Over the coming days, as economic woes continue, he expects this number to reverse as more passengers look for better value propositions.

SpiceJet at Bangalore
He also feels that Bangalore is over-serviced in terms of capacity, and given SpiceJet's current fleet constraints, the airline will not be adding any new flights to Bangalore in the near future. SpiceJet is planning to re-introduce the non-stop Bangalore Jaipur flight which is currently a one stop.

Low fares Yo-Yo
I quizzed Sanjay about the recent fare fluctuations, especially the low fares in January followed by the steep increases in February. He informed me that SpiceJet was offering an average fare of Rs. 2,300 during January, which was increased to an average of Rs. 4,000 in February.

In January most airlines had taken this deliberate step of a fare decrease, to ascertain if the market could be stimulated by low fares. The low fares were never intended to be permanent since airlines would need load factors greater than an impossible 100 per cent to break even. Despite the ultra-low fares, the airlines managed only a rather poor ten percent increase in load factors. This was the primary determinant in the fare raise. As a low fare airline, SpiceJet will always keep tweaking its fare to offer value propositions to its passengers, he added.

Indian low cost carriers (LCCs) cannot follow the traditional European and US LCC models. Indian LCCs are hampered by a lack of secondary airports which results in them having to pay the same astronomical airport fees as full service carriers, and suffer the same congestion and (in)efficiencies at airports. Unlike a RyanAir or EasyJet or JetBlue, SpiceJet and other Indian LCCs like IndiGo achieve only 12.5 hours a day. This is still higher than the 10.5 hours a day full service carriers like Air India, Jet Airways and Kingfisher Airlines achieve.

Innovative cost reduction
To overcome these inherent limitations of the Indian market, SpiceJet is resorting to innovative methods of cost cutting.

One example is the music SpiceJet plays during the embarkation, taxiing, and dis-embarkation process. Normally airlines pay professional musicians Rs. 2~5 million ($40K~$100K) to compose the music.

SpiceJet went the in-sourcing route rather than out-sourcing, and discovered Moin Wasil, their airport services manager at New Delhi, was also a proficient musician. Using his Roland Fantom XA workstation, with a state of the art software, Moin and his team of musicians put together a refreshing fusion of Indian notes and global tunes which is played on-board all SpiceJet flights.

Watch him compose the music



And his inspiration?

"The music was inspired by SpiceJet – its dynamic growth, vibrancy, warmth and elegance. The fusion resembles SpiceJet – Indian but with International standards. The warmth in the music comes from its employees who are motivated, helpful and caring. The freshness comes from our eagerness to do things better and do them differently. I hope my music brings forth the caring, warm culture of the organization.”
Hear the music.


Focus on additional markets
Currently SpiceJet passenger mix is about 40 per cent business fliers, and 60 per cent leisure. The global slowdown in air travel has impacted leisure segment, and has made SpiceJet accelerate its increasing focus on business passengers. In parallel, the airline is also on track in increasing its load factors from an average 100 passengers per flight, to 140.

Reaching out to business travellers, SpiceJet now offers services which it hopes will appeal to them.
  • SpiceJet has introduced hot coffee or tea with cookies service for Rs 20.
  • Business travellers can collect their boarding passes for a same-day return flight.
  • Introduction of a corporate travel program with key account managers and other flexibilities (which normally means ability to change ticketed flight dates and times without surcharges).
While airlines in the US are charging for each check-in piece of baggage, SpiceJet is going the opposite way to woo customers by extending the free "two piece baggage" concept to international connecting passengers.

SpiceJet is also taking a cue from Air Asia X and is actively finalising pre-ordered (and obviously pre-paid) sandwich and snacks. This eliminates wastage of food and jet fuel which rather surprisingly, costs as much as Rs. 1,000 ($20) per meal.

"Word of mouth" advertising
All these steps fit in to SpiceJet's model of focussing on offering a superior value proposition, not just a low fare, to its passengers which will increase their reputation and help them not spend on advertising, instead relying on word of mouth referrals.

SpiceJet revenue share
Click on image for a larger view
SpiceJet revenue share analysis
Cargo
With a capacity of 300 tonnes per day, SpiceJet has also targeted a doubling of cargo revenue to five per cent of total revenue. A recent partnership with IBS Software to implement their iCargoLite cargo management system highlights SpiceJet's resolve. However, Sanjay Aggarwal was adamant that SpiceJet would not let cargo growth affect its passenger experience. SpiceJet would focus only on those cargo that permitted the airline to maintain its quick aircraft turn around policy.

Visit Bangalore Aviation tomorrow for Part 2 of this story. International operations, financials, and the future.

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Jet Airways, Kingfisher Airlines and SpiceJet are the only three publicly listed airlines in India, and are required to release their quarterly results.

Using the results of the third quarter which ended December 31, 2008, I compiled three graphs to analyse their expenses. Depreciation and interest is included as part of expenses and other income is included as part of income.

It is important to realise each airline is compared against itself. For example, due to its low cost carrier model which forces lower expenses, SpiceJet will show a higher proportion of its operational expenses for fuel compared to the full service Jet Airways and mixed model (full and low cost) Kingfisher Airlines.



Graph 1 clearly shows that Jet Airways in the lead with the lowest expenses to income ratio at 117% up 16% from the same 9 month period from last year. The greater than 100% numbers indicate a loss. Kingfisher is spending 49% more than its income, up 10% from the same period last year. Is it any wonder the airline is in trouble ?

Click on any of the images for a larger version
SpiceJet Kingfisher Airlines Jet Airways Expense Income Analysis
Graph 2 goes a little more in detail on the expenses of the airlines. Due to the differing heads of accounts, I was forced to do a little consolidation. I have also included interest and depreciation as part of the expenses, Kingfisher and SpiceJet have managed to bring down their operational expenses by about 5%, clearly the effects on the plunging jet fuel prices.

Jet's expenses have gone up 5%. I can only surmise it is due to the cost of their uber-luxurious Boeing 777-300ERs. Now that Jet has leased out seven of its 11 777s, these expenses should come down.

Both Jet and SpiceJet have brought down their employee costs by about 2.5%. Something Kingfisher has not yet been able to achieve, and desperately needs to.

SpiceJet shows "other expenses" which includes legal, professional and consulting expenses, but the airline does not provide details in its statement.

SpiceJet Kingfisher Airlines Jet Airways Expense Analysis
Graph 3, shows a break up of the operational expenses as a percentage of total expenses including interest and depreciation. Kingfisher still leads the pack with the highest OpEx of 81.2%. Again Jet Airways has gone against the trend and increased its OpEx by a whopping 8% thanks to those empty international flights.

Do observe; jet fuel expenses constitute only about 36% of total expenses. So airline execs better be careful the next time they blame fuel prices for their woes.

SpiceJet with its low cost model enjoys a 16% advantage in "other operating expenses" when compared to its full service counter parts.

SpiceJet Kingfisher Airlines Jet Airways Operational Expenses Analysis
Unlike airlines overseas, no Indian carrier reports its performance in terms of Revenue Passenger Kilometres/Miles (RPK or RPM) or Freight Ton Kilometres/Miles (FTK or FTM). I think it is time for airlines in India to take analysts in to their confident and start sharing this information, if nothing else, it builds trust.

Please note, these graphs are copyright, but you are free to use them, unaltered, with due credit and a link to Bangalore Aviation.

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